Developments
Down the Stretch They Come
[November/December 2003]

By Matthew Bechard

Thoroughbred races usually go one of two ways: an early front-runner sets a blistering pace out of the gate and leaves the field in the dust, or a strong closer lingers in the middle of the pack until he makes his move at the end of the race. Now that the Real Estate Portfolio Stock Challenge is in the home stretch, what type of finish can we expect?

There have already been several different leaders through the first three quarters of the year, so nobody will be going wire to wire. The current leader, through Sept. 30, is Jeff Donnelly of Wachovia Securities.

The industry experts were asked to predict the 2003 year-end index value of the NAREIT Equity REIT Index and the Morgan Stanley REIT Index and select a portfolio of five individual real estate stocks tracked using equity market cap weighted calculations, which is the same methodology used in calculating the NAREIT Equity Index.

After getting out of the gate slowly, the Challenge has turned into a fast track as all seven participants have posted total returns greater than 20 percent.

To see updates of how the contest is progressing, log on to www.realestateportfolio.com/challenge.shtml. The Stock Challenge is for entertainment purposes only and readers should keep in mind that the selections made are not recommendations to purchase any specific stock.
Real Estate Portfolio Stock Challenge
Results through Sept. 30, 2003
Name
Company
Y-T-D Return
Portfolio
Jeff Donnelly
Wachovia Securities
39.68%
Chelsea Property Group (CPG)
Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT)
Innkeepers USA Trust (KPA)
LaSalle Hotel Properties (LHO)
Senior Housing Properties Trust (SNH)
Lee Schalop
Banc of America Securities
36.28%
Simon Property Group (SPG)
General Growth Properties (GGP)
Chelsea Property Group (CPG)
Boston Properties (BXP)
CarrAmerica Realty Corporation (CRE)
Jay Habermann
Credit Suisse First Boston
35.48%
Mack-Cali Realty Corp. (CLI)
Corporate Office Properties (OFC)
General Growth Properties (GGP)
Capital Automotive REIT (CARS)
Tanger Factory Outlet Centers (SKT)
Barry Vinocur
Realty Stock Review
34.03%
Ventas (VTR)
Chelsea Property Group (CPG)
CenterPoint Properties Trust (CNT)
Catellus Development Corp. (CDX)
The Rouse Company (RSE)
David Fick
Legg Mason Wood Walker
22.54%
The Mills Corporation (MLS)
Maguire Properties (MPG)
Reckson Associates Realty Corp. (RA)
Prime Group Realty Trust (PGE)
HRPT Properties Trust (HRP)
Anatole Pevnev
McDonald Investments
20.70%
Boston Properties (BXP)
Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE)
Highwoods Properties (HIW)
Corporate Office Properties (OFC)
SL Green Realty Corp. (SLG)
Jay Leupp
RBC Capital Management
20.21%
Public Storage (PSA)
AIMCO (AIV)
New Plan Excel Realty Trust (NXL)
Glenborough Realty Trust (GLB)
PS Business Parks (PSB)